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EIA Projected To Announce Bearish -37 BCF Natural Gas Weekly Storage Withdrawal In Today's Storage Report; Gas Demand To Soar Today As Exceptionally Cold Temperatures Dominate Plains With -26 BCF Draw Expected; Crude Oil At 1-Week Low After Refined Products Jump

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Thursday, December 8, 2016
Natural gas again tested the $3.75/MMBTU barrier on Wednesday and, for a second consecutive day, was unable to hold the level as prices faded from a morning 3% gap up to finish down 3 cents or 0.9% to $3.60/MMBTU. The intraday $3.75/MMBTU high represented the highest price since December 12, 2014. With the pullback combined with increasing odds of a second arctic outbreak next week, my calculated natural gas overvaluation versus its 8-month Fair Price narrowed to 3.9% from a peak of nearly 8% late last week. Nonetheless, based on an estimated current natural gas storage surplus of +221 BCF as of early this morning, the commodity remains steeply overvalued by +28% based on current inventories alone, down from a peak of +31%. Despite a very bullish demand forecast for the next two weeks, I followed my previously discussed plan and reduced my long exposure by 25% on Wednesday's AM spike. My long position via a DGAZ short now stands at just 25% of the target position size with profits upwa...

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Feedgas deliveries to Sabine Pass LNG plant & LNG tanker positions.

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Crude Oil Storage

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