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Natural Gas Demand Rises For A Third Consecutive Day With Still-Bearish -14 BCF Daily Draw Expected Today; Long-Term Temperature Outlook Remains Fraught With Uncertainty; LNG Feedgas Demand To Sabine Pass Plunges 36% In 48 Hours As Tankers Line Up Offshore

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Tuesday, January 24, 2017
Despite great uncertainty regarding the temperature outlook for early- and mid-February, natural gas started the week on a bullish note on Monday, rising 4 cents or 1.2% to $3.24/MMBTU. Thanks to some late-day strength, both the 1x ETF UNG and 3x ETF UGAZ outperformed, rising 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively. Crude oil, on the other hand, dropped 47 cents or 0.9% to start the week, settling at $52.75/barrel as fears of rising domestic production continue to outweigh OPEC's efforts to stabilize worldwide supply/demand balance.

After spending the last week in record territory over 2 BCF/day, feedgas demand to the Sabine Pass LNG plant has plunged over the last 48 hours. Demand reached a record high of 2.24 BCF/day on Sunday, January 21, before tumbling to 1.6 BCF/day on Monday and is forecast to slide to 1.4 BCF/day today. This would be a 2-day decline of 36% and would be the lowest daily feedgas demand since January 5, as shown in the Figure to the right. The most likely explanation for...

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