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Friday Daily Commentary For Subscribers
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Natural Gas Bucks Global Sell-Off & Rises Despite Larger-Than-Expected EIA Storage Injection; Speculation Increases As Fundamentals Take A Backseat For Now; Gas Demand To Rise Slightly Today As Colder Temperatures Expand Out Onto The Great Plains; Bearish Injection Likely This Week Before Much Colder Air Returns Next Week
Friday, April 4, 2025
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In its weekly Natural Gas Storage Report for March 22-28, the EIA announced Thursday morning that natural gas inventories rose by +29 BCF. This was slightly larger than my +24 BCF projection and came in 42 BCF bearish versus the 5-year average -13 BCF drawdown in what is typically the final week of the withdrawal season. The bearishness of the injection was driven largely by unseasonably mild temperatures, especially at the end of week, though loose supply/demand imbalances due to robust production also played a role. With the injection, natural gas inventories rose to 1773 BCF while the deficit versus the 5-year average narrowed to -80 BCF. The year-over-year deficit fell to -491 BCF. With the build, natural gas inventories moved ahead of 2021 and now stand as the third lowest for the date in the last 5 years, as shown in the Figure tot he right.
Four out of the five storage regions registered bearish injections or withdrawals, led by the South Central Region at +33 BCF, 23 B...
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